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Super Bowl odds post the Packers as 2-point favorites versus the Steelers with the total at 44.5.



What do recent trends tell us about the chances for Green Bay and Pittsburgh versus the Super Bowl wagering odds at the online sports book?

Favorites Stressed
Several years ago the favorites did quite well in the Super Bowl but since 1980 the favorites are just 19-11 straight up and a bad 12-16-2 versus the spread. The longshot has covered the last three Super Bowls, successful 2 of the three straight up. The people actually likes Green Bay in Super Bowl XLV but the recent trends point to taking the longshot Steelers. The Packers are the 10th diverse National Football Conference team to play in the Super Bowl in the past ten years. The Packers are the fourth team to win three straight road games and attain the Super Bowl. Two of the earlier three won the Super Bowl. The Packers are the first number 6 seed from the National Football Conference to make it to the Super Bowl.

Point Totals
If Green Bay is put on to thirty points or less in the Super Bowl they’re likely in danger. The last sixteen Super Bowl favorites to score thirty points or less are 2-14-1 versus the spread. Let’s go one step further when it comes to the successful point total. If a team doesn’t get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they almost never win. If a team doesn’t get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they’re 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a putrid 3-17-1 versus the point spread. Squads that get to 21 points or more have a very excellent chance of successful. With both Pittsburgh and Green Bay having great defenses it appears very likely that whoever gets to 21 points will win and cover Super Bowl XLV. Looking at the total, 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have gone below the total in Super Bowl odds and if it weren’t for a late Pittsburgh Touchdown 2 years ago it will be 6 in a row. This season’s total of 44.5 is the lowest we have watched in the Super Bowl since Super Bowl XXXVIII.

National Football Conference Advantage
In the past thirty Super Bowls, the National Football Conference is 19-11 straight up and 18-10-2 ATS. It should be observed though that in the previous thirteen Super Bowls that the National Football Conference is just 4-9 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. And this is the first time in the last 9 seasons that the National Football Conference will likely be favored in the Super Bowl.


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